Election Simulator
உங்கள் தேர்தல், உங்கள் கணிப்பு
தேர்தல் கருத்துக்கணிப்புகள் எதற்கு? முடிவுகளை நீங்களே ஆராயுங்கள்!
கடந்த முறை பதிவான வாக்குகள் இம்முறை யாருக்கு? களநிலவரங்களின் தாக்கம் என்னவாக இருக்கும்? உங்கள் உள்ளீடுகளுக்கு ஏற்ப மாறும் தேர்தல் முடிவுகளையும், வெற்றி வாய்ப்புகளையும் உடனுக்குடன் திரையில் பாருங்கள்.
இது, தேர்தல் களத்தின் சாத்தியக்கூறுகளை நீங்களே சோதித்துப் பார்க்கும் தனித்துவமான ஆய்வுக் கருவி!
Bypolls in two constituencies on October 6, counting on October 9. Pick one.
Start here: choose at least one scenario to see a projected result.
Swipe each row to see all 15 scenarios. Pick one scenario, or several to combine them. Or skip the scenarios and play with the voter flows and factors on your own. Flows and factors give you more control.
Nothing chosen yet, so there's no projection. Every April voter is assumed to vote the same way again until you choose a scenario above, or move voters and add factors yourself below.
Want more control? Build your own scenario:
Your scenario
There's no projection until you tell us what you think is happening on the ground. Nothing is assumed in advance.
Where each party's April voters go now. It starts with everyone voting the same way as in April. Scenarios you choose move voters here, or tap Adjust on any row to move them yourself.
Staying with AIADMK: 100% (whatever is left over).
Staying with TVK: 100% (whatever is left over).
Staying with DMK: 100% (whatever is left over).
Tap any factor to switch it on, then pick the party it affects and how strong it is. Combine as many as you like.
A statewide mood for or against a party that lifts or sinks it everywhere.
Frustration with the party in power. TVK now runs the state government.
Voter anger at the TVK candidate for resigning and switching parties months after winning.
Ground organisation, outreach, star campaigners and booth work.
Bypolls usually draw fewer voters than a general election. When turnout falls, parties with stronger booth-level organisation tend to gain. Pick how far turnout falls and which party benefits.
Women are about half of all voters, and welfare schemes and safety often shape how they vote. Pick which party women lean towards and how strongly.
How each age group leans. The shift inside a group is scaled by that group's share of voters.
A share of voters consolidating behind a party as a bloc. No community is named or assumed.
Local concerns. Pick the party each issue affects, and whether it works for or against that party.
Statewide concerns. Pick the party each issue affects, and whether it works for or against that party.
Voters who want something different from what they have now.
Undecided and floating voters who are not part of any party's core base, and which way they lean.
April 2026 Assembly election, turnout 93.4%.